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Showing posts from 2020

Be an Equanimous Investor in 2021

What is equanimity? It is keeping your emotions under control.  The point is not to get excited and euphoric when things are going your way at the same time not to get depressed when things are not going your way or the environment is bad. From the year 2020, one of the lessons, I have learned is that it is difficult to understand the markets, as it is a place where people make emotional decisions. To be successful in markets, you have to control your urges. What I mean is, do not sentimental in the market. In markets; volatility cannot be avoided.  All of us crave stability and fear volatility. However, is life always stable? No. It is not. All of us have experienced the highs and lows that life has to offer. Yet, hardly anyone has stopped living due to that.  Very few have always stayed indoors merely because 'anything may happen' once they move out. Most of us want new experiences, even though we are not entirely certain that those experiences will always be pleasant. ...

Wealth is What You Don’t See - Morgan Housel

I recently read the book- The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel, Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness ;  the most intriguing investing book I have ever read. Top 20 learnings from this book as follows: Financial success is not hard science. It’s a soft skill, where how you behave is more important than what you know. If you are short of time jump directly to points 19 and 20. 1. No One’s Crazy Your personal experiences with money make up maybe 0.00000001% of what’s happened in the world, but maybe 80% of how you think the world works. Spreadsheets can model the historic frequency of big stock market declines. But they can’t model the feeling of coming home, looking at your kids, and wondering if you’ve made a mistake that will impact their lives. The economists wrote: “Our findings suggest that individual investors’ willingness to bear risk depends on personal history.” The New York Times wrote in 1955 about the growing desire, but continued inability, to retire: “...

If the seller has a self-interest in me buying, I am not buying - Guy Spier

I recently read the book- The Education of a Value Investor by Guy Spier.   This book is about Guy Spier’s journey from that dark place toward the Nirvana where he now lives. This blog post includes  my top learnings from the book.  8 Rules developed by Guy Spier to be followed while investing: 2.        1. Stop Checking the Stock Price o    As Buffett has said, when we invest in a business, we should be willing to own it even if the stock market were to close the next day and not reopen for five years. o    We also know from behavioral finance research by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky that investors feel the pain of loss twice as acutely as the pleasure of gain. o    The Rule: Check stock prices as infrequently as possible. 3.        2. If Someone Tries to Sell You Something, Don’t Buy It o    As Charlie Munger has joked, “All I want to know is where I...

Mutual Fund Investments by Co-operative Banks and Societies

There are multiple investment options for Co-operative Banks and Societies. As per RBI Master Circular on Investments by Primary (Urban) Co-operative Bank and the recent amendment to the Indian Trust Act in 2017, Co-operative Societies can invest in many financial instruments. Traditionally, the funds which are in excess of the loans given are invested in fixed deposits of other co-operative banks or nationalized banks. The interest rate received on those excess funds barely matches the interest cost that the bank pays to depositors.   After the recent amendment to the Indian Trust Act in 2017, co-operative societies can invest in specified mutual funds. For simplicity, I have divided the deposits with a time horizon of 5+ years and less than 5 years.  1. Deposits with 5+ years time horizon Only deposits with 5+ years' time horizon should be invested in equity. Purely from the perspective of value addition; co-operative societies should invest some part (e.g. 10%) of depo...

Zooming Out and Zooming In

Zooming Out: You should zoom out and see the big picture. If you're too close to the situation, you'll get entangled in things that don't really matter. And, they really shouldn't matter. Go too close and you'll get caught up with the noise at the signal.   While this is true for many aspects of life, let's discuss in the context of business and investing.  When you zoom out, you'll ask questions like;  Am I even in the right business? Does it even make sense to be in this business? Where is this business headed in 5, 10, 20 years from now? What need does this business serve? Will this need even be there 5, 10, 20 years from now? For example, an auto ancillary manufacturer, let's say a gearbox manufacturer may be very profitable right now; but if electric vehicles disrupt the internal combustion engine; will there be a need for gearboxes ten years from now?   And even if the need is there, how likely is it that my business will still be relevant fulfilli...