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Planning for the Five Great Goals of Life

I want to talk about the five things that virtually everyone I speak with is trying to achieve with his/ her money. Some people have only one of these goals. Some have two or three. And, not infrequently, I meet people who, with a little prompting, turn out to have a bit of all five. And since these five issues are the main emotional and financial concerns in my own and my family's life, I can effortlessly (and quite genuinely) spark a tremendous amount of empathy on this topic and so can you.  The Five Great Goals of Life are: The endowment of a long, comfortable, and totally worry-free retirement, with no compromise in lifestyle, and no real concern about ever running out of money. The need/ desire to intervene meaningfully in the financial lives of one's children , during one's lifetime, and/ or in the form of legacies. The ability to fund, in whole or large part, the education of one's grandchildren. The capability to provide quality care to parents in their later ...

The fight is not one of knowledge vs ignorance, but of faith vs fear

Equity markets are fundamentally unknowable. If markets and/ or investments lent themselves to rational analysis in any significantly predictive way, somebody (or more properly, somebody's computer) would have perfected that analysis long since and would have taken away all the chips of everybody else at the table. This has not happened. And if it hasn't happened by now- with every computer nerd in the washing through his computer every recorded trade since the Assyrians swapped wheat to the Babylonians for bronze- it is not going to happen. The secret is: there is no secret.  No matter how much you know, you still can't prove what's going to happen in the future. And the more you try to prove what's going to happen, the more you put yourself in an obviously false position. Once again: no one can, with any precision, give knowledge of the future. The battle we fight is not one of knowledge vs. ignorance, but of faith vs. fear. Your belief system is your sword and yo...

If your Equity Portfolio is not globally diversified, you're taking undue risk which may not payoff

Points to ponder while taking investing in equity: 1. Do you travel to foreign countries like the US, UK, Japan, Switzerland, etc.? 2. Do you send your kids abroad for education? Shouldn't you balance your equity exposure to Indian and Foreign stocks/ Mutual Funds/ ETFs/ FoFs?  Reasons for the globally diversified equity portfolio: 1. Reduces country-specific risk Country specific risk includes negative events such as  war,  drought,  political turmoil, etc. 2. Winners keep rotating Winners keep rotating frequently Predicting them in advance is impossible Reduce the risk of our investors losing out when the Indian stock market underperforms   3. Reducing Portfolio Volatility All stock markets do not always move at the same pace or same direction   Investing across countries helps to reduce the volatility of the portfolio Lower fluctuations in the portfolio which also helps in better good night's sleep 4. Wider choice Several world-class companies do no...

Be an Equanimous Investor in 2021

What is equanimity? It is keeping your emotions under control.  The point is not to get excited and euphoric when things are going your way at the same time not to get depressed when things are not going your way or the environment is bad. From the year 2020, one of the lessons, I have learned is that it is difficult to understand the markets, as it is a place where people make emotional decisions. To be successful in markets, you have to control your urges. What I mean is, do not sentimental in the market. In markets; volatility cannot be avoided.  All of us crave stability and fear volatility. However, is life always stable? No. It is not. All of us have experienced the highs and lows that life has to offer. Yet, hardly anyone has stopped living due to that.  Very few have always stayed indoors merely because 'anything may happen' once they move out. Most of us want new experiences, even though we are not entirely certain that those experiences will always be pleasant. ...

Wealth is What You Don’t See - Morgan Housel

I recently read the book- The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel, Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness ;  the most intriguing investing book I have ever read. Top 20 learnings from this book as follows: Financial success is not hard science. It’s a soft skill, where how you behave is more important than what you know. If you are short of time jump directly to points 19 and 20. 1. No One’s Crazy Your personal experiences with money make up maybe 0.00000001% of what’s happened in the world, but maybe 80% of how you think the world works. Spreadsheets can model the historic frequency of big stock market declines. But they can’t model the feeling of coming home, looking at your kids, and wondering if you’ve made a mistake that will impact their lives. The economists wrote: “Our findings suggest that individual investors’ willingness to bear risk depends on personal history.” The New York Times wrote in 1955 about the growing desire, but continued inability, to retire: “...

If the seller has a self-interest in me buying, I am not buying - Guy Spier

I recently read the book- The Education of a Value Investor by Guy Spier.   This book is about Guy Spier’s journey from that dark place toward the Nirvana where he now lives. This blog post includes  my top learnings from the book.  8 Rules developed by Guy Spier to be followed while investing: 2.        1. Stop Checking the Stock Price o    As Buffett has said, when we invest in a business, we should be willing to own it even if the stock market were to close the next day and not reopen for five years. o    We also know from behavioral finance research by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky that investors feel the pain of loss twice as acutely as the pleasure of gain. o    The Rule: Check stock prices as infrequently as possible. 3.        2. If Someone Tries to Sell You Something, Don’t Buy It o    As Charlie Munger has joked, “All I want to know is where I...